Aguars Baseball Betting News

<< Wood, Cairo lead Reds past Pirates
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Miguel Cairo knocked in a pair of runs and rookie Travis Wood tossed seven shutout innings, as the Cincinnati Reds earned a 4-0 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in the opener of a three-game series at PNC Par

<< Indians C Santana injured in play at the plate
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cleveland Indians catcher Carlos Santana was injured in the seventh inning of Monday's game against the Boston Red Sox on a play at the plate. With Ryan Kalish on second and one out in the frame, Daniel Nava plu

<< Bengals ink top pick Gresham
Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cincinnati Bengals have reportedly agreed to terms with tight end Jermaine Gresham, their first round draft choice. According to the Cincinnati Enquirer, it is a five-year deal worth $15

<< Youkilis leaves with thumb injury
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Boston Red Sox first baseman Kevin Youkilis left Monday's game against the Cleveland Indians with an injured right thumb. In the second inning, Youkilis lined out to shortstop and grabbed his right hand.

Wells, Blue Jays hang on to down Yanks >>
Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Vernon Wells doubled, homered and drove in two, as the Toronto Blue Jays held on for an 8-6 win over the New York Yankees in the opener of a three-game series. The Blue Jays scored seven runs in the fifth i

Braves return home with win over Santana, Mets >>
Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chipper Jones homered in support of Tim Hudson's six innings of work in Atlanta's 4-1 victory over New York in the first of a three-game set. Jones blasted a solo shot in the seventh inning to tie

Indians hold off Red Sox for third straight win >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Shelley Duncan went 4-for-5 with two RBI and a run scored as the Cleveland Indians held off the Boston Red Sox, 6-5, in the opener of a four-game set. Shin-Soo Choo drove in two runs while Jordan Brown score

Casey Coleman makes it 3 generations in majors >>
CHICAGO (AP) -Chicago Cubs reliever Casey Coleman made his major league debut on Monday night, making his family the fourth to have three generations play in the big leagues.Coleman, who was called up before the game, entered in the sixth inning. He

Betting Football

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

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