Manchester United looking to bounce back against Villa
Soccer Betting Lines
12/22/2006 - Birmingham, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Manchester United had an eight- point lead in the Premiership standings only two weeks ago. Now, the Red Devils have seen that cushion fall to only two points, courtesy of their stunning 1-0 loss at West Ham last week.
Chelsea picked up wins against both Newcastle and Everton to close the gap, and have served notice to United that they are not going away.
Sir Alex Ferguson's men are now looking to rebound from their disappointment at Upton Park, the first away loss of the campaign for United. The Red Devils will hit the road once again when they visit Aston Villa on Saturday.
The Villains are looking to rebound as well, as Martin O'Neill's team have slowly descended down the standings in the EPL. After occupying a top-five spot in the early part of the season, Villa have taken just four points away from their last six games, including a 1-0 home defeat to Bolton last time out.
Midfielder Gavin McCann will face a late fitness test for Aston Villa as he is battling a hamstring problem. If McCann can't go, 20-year-old Craig Gardner could make his first start of the season after impressing the team as a substitute.
The Villains will trot out almost the same lineup they have for the past couple of weeks despite their recent struggles, but the team must start picking up the maximum points to improve on its ninth-place standing and compete for a spot European competition next season.
United is expected to put the same starting 11 on the pitch on Saturday that they have for weeks. One question that has been raised concerning United's title chances is whether or not they have enough depth to navigate the rest of the season. United could have trouble if they suffer an injury or two in their starting lineup, as there is not much depth on the roster. One player who will help the thin front line for the Red Devils is Henrik Larsson, who will join the club in January after signing on loan from Helsingborg. The 35-year-old former Celtic star will bring needed firepower up top to go along with Louis Saha and Wayne Rooney.
Defender Patrice Evra will probably not be available to Ferguson as he is battling a calf injury, while Alan Smith is not up for selection as he is still trying to return to fitness.
In other action on Saturday in England, Fulham tries to move into the top-half of the standings with a win against West Ham, Arsenal hosts Blackburn and will try to keep its place in a tight race for third place, surging Liverpool has won its last three games by a combined 11-0 score and will attempt to keep that momentum going when they host bottom-feeding Watford. Bolton got back in the win column last week and tries to make it two straight with a visit to Manchester City, Middlesbrough hosts Charlton in a match heavy with relegation implications, Newcastle entertains a suddenly-strong Tottenham club, Portsmouth is just two points out of third and plays host to Sheffield United, Reading and Everton are separated by just two points and clash at the Madejski Stadium and Chelsea visits Wigan in an attempt to keep the heat on United.
SATURDAY
Fulham - West Ham United
Arsenal - Blackburn Rovers
Aston Villa - Manchester United
Liverpool - Watford
Manchester City - Bolton Wanderers
Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic
Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur
Portsmouth - Sheffield United
Reading - Everton
Wigan Athletic - Chelsea
Kansas City, MO. (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Kansas City Wizards made some moves in the offseason to help bolster its staff on Friday with the addition of assistant coach Kris Kelderman and goalkeeping, strength and conditioning coach D
<< Timberwolves try to halt three-game losing streak against Bucks
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Timberwolves will try to rebound from a
bitter ending to their most recent game when the struggling club hosts the
Milwaukee Bucks tonight at the Target Center.
Minnesota dropped a 111-94 decision to the Lo
<< Rockets visit Southwest Division-rival San Antonio
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Houston Rockets hope to end a lengthy recent lack of
success against the San Antonio Spurs when the two in-state rivals face one
another tonight at the AT&T Center.
San Antonio has thoroughly dominated this series as o
<< Hornets, Grizzlies battle at the Ford Center
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The injury-riddled New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets will
try to stop a four-game losing streak when they welcome the equally-struggling
Memphis Grizzlies to the Ford Center this evening.
The Hornets, who are without thre
<< Pacers to take on reeling Hawks
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Indiana Pacers aim for their second straight win
tonight when they take on the Atlanta Hawks at Philips Arena.
Indiana defeated the struggling Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday by a 101-93
score at the Wachovia
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Just when the Boston Celtics were heating up, their leading scorer goes down with an injury. Celtics forward Paul Pierce is expected to miss two to three weeks with a stress reaction in his left foot. Pierce has b
Report: Browns' Frye has broken bone in wrist >>
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cleveland Browns quarterback Charlie Frye
reportedly has a broken bone in his right wrist.
Frye was hurt on December 3 against Kansas City and has missed the past two
games with what the team had d
Griffey breaks hand >>
Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cincinnati Reds center fielder Ken Griffey
Jr. suffered a broken left hand due to an undisclosed accident at his home,
the team announced Friday.
Griffey, an 18-year veteran and 12-time All-Star, will
U.S. WNT to open 2007 against Germany >>
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The United States Women's National Team will
open the 2007 season by participating in the Four Nations Tournament from Jan.
26-30 in China.
The tourney will pit the U.S. versus some of the world's stronge
Pistons get 'Sheed back >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Pistons got one of their key players back this
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Wallace, who had missed the previous two wins
Super Bowl 2009 Betting
Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositionsUnderdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.
Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.
Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.
If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.
Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.
By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.
In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.
So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.
While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.
There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.
In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:
SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.
XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.
XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.
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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro
While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
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